FerrumFortis

Eclipsed Fortunes: Outokumpu’s 2024 Fiscal Amidst Quotidian Quagmire

Synopsis: Outokumpu reported a full-year adjusted EBITDA of €177 million in 2024, down sharply from €517 million in 2023, as stainless steel deliveries hit historic lows. Q4 saw a €-3 million adjusted EBITDA amid weak demand, strikes, and import pressures. The Board proposed a €0.26/share dividend despite challenges.
Friday, February 14, 2025
OUTO
Source : ContentFactory

Financial Highlights Q4 2024:  

- Stainless steel deliveries: 422,000 metric tons (450,000).  

- Adjusted EBITDA: €-3 million (€72 million).  

- Free cash flow: €33 million (€156 million incl. discontinued operations).  

- ROCE: -1.2% (-2.1%).  

- EPS: €-0.07 (€-0.56).  

Financial Highlights Full-Year 2024:  

- Deliveries: 1,793,000 metric tons (1,906,000).  

- Adjusted EBITDA: €177 million (€517 million).  

- Free cash flow: €-71 million (€290 million incl. discontinued operations).  

- EPS: €-0.09 (€-0.26).  

Strategic Shifts & Challenges  

- Leadership: Kati ter Horst became CEO in October 2024.  

- Strikes: A political strike in Finland cut H1 adjusted EBITDA by ~€60 million. Year-end strikes further strained Q1 2025 forecasts (-€15 million/week).  

- Cost Measures: Achieved €101 million of €350 million EBITDA run-rate improvements; targeted €50 million savings in 2025.  

- Investments: Reduced 2025 capex to €160 million; paused U.S. cold rolling and Tornio SMR projects.  

Regional Performance  

- Europe: Adjusted EBITDA fell to €-32 million in Q4; deliveries dropped 9% QoQ. Weak demand, import surges, and low prices persisted.  

- Americas: Adjusted EBITDA at €9 million; deliveries down 7% QoQ. Subdued manufacturing sector awaited stimulus.  

- Ferrochrome: Adjusted EBITDA rose to €33 million. Kemi mine reserves expanded 95%, securing supply until 2050s.  

Sustainability & Decarbonization  

- Reduced emission intensity by 32% vs. 2016 baseline (target: 42% by 2030).  

- Maintained 95% recycled content in stainless steel.  

- Invested €40 million in German biocarbon plant to replace fossil coke.  

Outlook for Q1 2025  

- Stainless deliveries expected to rise 10–20% QoQ (strike-adjusted).  

- Adjusted EBITDA to improve vs. Q4 2024 but pressured by raw material losses and potential strikes.  

- Maintenance costs to decline ~€10 million QoQ.  

Financial Results Breakdown  

Q4 2024 vs. Q4 2023:  

- Sales fell to €1,405 million (€1,513 million).  

- EBIT: €-65 million (€-314 million).  

2024 vs. 2023:  

- Sales: €5,942 million (€6,961 million).  

- Net result: €-40 million (€-111 million).